Personally, I think that quarterbacks are severely overrated in fantasy football because so many of them put up just decent numbers, unlike running backs and wide receivers. The only positions that I think are less important in fantasy is the kicker and the defense. Last year, in a 14 team league, I took Matthew Stafford in the 14th round, and he went on to put up the 9th most points of any quarterback last season. Also, don’t waste a bench spot on a quarterback, a good number of decent ones tend to go undrafted, so use bench spots on more important positions, like a RB or WR. Still, quarterbacks can be an important position, because quarterbacks do put up a lot of points, and picking the right one can be extremely important.

These rankings are based on what I believe the quarterback rankings will be at the end of the season. They are not a prediction of what round they will be drafted or an exact estimate of how many points they will get. Like last year, I probably won’t take a quarterback until the 14th round, and you shouldn’t take one until then either.

  1. Tom Brady, New England Patriots

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The 40-year-old tops the list. The reason Brady comes in ahead of Rodgers and Ryan is because he has more weapons now than he did last year. A healthy Gronk and the addition of Brandin Cooks will give  Brady the opportunity to challenge the numbers he put up in 2007, which will be very nice for his fantasy numbers.

 

  1. Aaron Rodgers, Green Bay Packers

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Rodgers is the main reason the Packers made the playoffs last year. He had the most points in standard ESPN leagues by a comfortable margin with 380. What makes that more impressive is that the Packers legitimately had no running game as a wide receiver lead the team in rushing.  With an actual running game and the addition of Martellus Bennett, Rodgers could easily eclipse that number.

 

  1. Matt Ryan, Atlanta Falcons

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The reigning MVP will have another impressive season as most of the offense stays intact.  This offense is loaded with weapons which will make it very easy for Ryan to put up impressive numbers. The only question is, will Steve Starkisian have as happy a pass offense as Kyle Shanahan did?

 

  1. Andrew Luck, Indianapolis Colts

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Without Luck, the Colts would probably be the worst team in the league. Luck carried a team with a nonexistent offense to 8 wins last season and put up very nice fantasy numbers to go with it. With Dalvin Cook joining the backfield, this offense will become explosive and should give Luck even better numbers than he had last year. The only question is: how bad is his shoulder injury and how much it will hold him back next season?

 

  1. Derek Carr, Oakland Raiders

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The newly minted highest paid quarterback in the NFL should continue to develop and put up nice numbers. He has a great offensive line and good receivers in Amari Cooper and Michael Crabtree. Carr will be a great fantasy quarterback this season.

  1. Drew Brees, New Orleans Saints

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I’m expecting a slight drop off for Brees, who will be 38 years old at the start of season. He lost one his top receivers in Brandin Cooks. Although, I’m still expecting a very strong season from Brees who still has his top target in Michael Thomas, a good receiver in Willie Snead, and has a knack of putting up 5,000 yard passing seasons.  Just don’t expect the 332 fantasy points he put up last season

 

  1. Matthew Stafford, Detroit Lions

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Stafford had the best season of his career last season, with Jim Bob Cooter as his offensive coordinator, with 279 fantasy points. Cooter is still the offensive coordinator for the Lions, so expect once again for Stafford to put up great fantasy numbers.

 

  1. Jameis Winston, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

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This is the year that Winston becomes a star in the NFL. He will have a plethora of weapons with Mike Evans, the off season addition of DeSean Jackson, as well as 1st round pick OJ Howard, who should make an impact right away. Winston should easily be a top 10 fantasy quarterback this upcoming season and he should be able to get many more than the 256 fantasy points he got last season.

 

  1. Russell Wilson, Seattle Seahawks

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All is not well in Seattle. Richard Sherman wants out and there seems to be a lot of trouble in the locker room. With that being said, Wilson should still be able to put up respectable fantasy numbers. He still has Doug Baldwin and Jimmy Graham to throw to, as well as a decent running back in Eddy Lacy running the ball.

  1. Marcus Mariota, Tennessee Titans

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Like Winston, expect Mariota to make a jump this season. He has new weapons in Corey Davis and Eric Decker that should help him put up great numbers. If you get Mariota you will have no worries about quarterback production this upcoming fantasy season.

 

  1. Philip Rivers, Los Angeles Chargers

With 1st round pick Mike Williams and a healthy Keenan Allen, Rivers will continue to put up great fantasy numbers. With Rivers advancing age, I would be a little cautious picking Rivers too early in fantasy drafts.

 

  1. Dak Prescott, Dallas Cowboys

The Cowboys have a very good offense, and while Prescott may have a small sophomore slump, he will continue to put up great fantasy numbers, especially since defenses will spend so much time trying to figure out how to stop Elliot.

 

  1. Andy Dalton, Cincinnati Bengals

Dalton always seems to put up decent fantasy numbers and with AJ Green and Tyler Eifert still on the team, so I’d expect that to continue.

 

  1. Ryan Tannehill, Miami Dolphins

I think Tannehill will put up better numbers than he did last year in his second season in Adam Gase’s offense. Plus, Miami has great receivers and added Julius Thomas this off season. Tannehill will be a very good quarterback on any fantasy team.

 

  1. Kirk Cousins, Washington Redskins

Cousins will not put up the same fantasy numbers he did last year when he got 300 points in ESPN standard leagues with his top 2 targets elsewhere. He will put up decent points though, and will be a good pick if you value quarterbacks as little in fantasy as I do.

 

  1. Cam Newton, Carolina Panthers

I’m not buying into the Panthers hype for this upcoming season. Newton will put up good but not great numbers, and will be a good value pick in the later rounds of drafts.

 

  1. Blake Bortles, Jacksonville Jaguars

The Jaguars will probably run the ball a lot more than they did last year, which will greatly diminish his fantasy value. With that being said, Bortles put up a lot of fantasy points last year and will probably still be worth a late round pick in fantasy drafts.

 

  1. Tyrod Taylor, Buffalo Bills

The Bills considered moving on from Taylor this offseason, which is not an encouraging sign. With a new coaching staff that has no attachment to Taylor, I’d probably stay away from Taylor in fantasy drafts.

 

  1. Carson Wentz, Philadelphia Eagles

The Eagles made some upgrades at the wide receiver position this offseason, adding Alshon Jeffery and Torrey Smith. With that being said, I still don’t think Wentz has much fantasy value yet.

 

  1. Ben Roethilisberger, Pittsburgh Steelers

Pittsburgh has a very good offense. I would still pass on Big Ben since he seems to miss a few games each year, and he was considering retirement in the off season, which makes you wonder if he even wants to play anymore.

 

  1. Eli Manning, New York Giants

He would be higher, but considering he’s in his mid- thirties and has a knack of throwing 20 interceptions a season, you should probably look elsewhere for your fantasy quarterback.

 

  1. Joe Flacco, Baltimore Ravens

Flacco is the guy you pick up when you realize it’s your quarterback’s bye week on Saturday night.

  1. Alex Smith, Kansas City Chiefs

The Dink and Dunk offense of the Chiefs is not good for the fantasy value of Alex Smith. I wonder if they will change their style once Mahommes takes over in a couple years, as he has a cannon of an arm.

 

  1. Carson Palmer, Arizona Cardinals

I think that Palmer’s best fantasy days are behind him. Did you know he is making $24 million next season?

 

  1. Sam Bradford, Minnesota Vikings

If you look up the definition of “game manager”,  you would get a picture of Sam Bradford. The definition would also tell you not to draft him in your fantasy league.

 

  1. Brock Osweiler, Cleveland Browns

Cleveland isn’t going to pay him $18 million to sit on the bench, especially if Kizer needs time to develop. With that beings said, I have no faith that Osweiler will have any fantasy value next season.

 

  1. Brian Hoyer, San Francisco 49ers

He had a few nice games in Chicago last season, but he’s on a bad team and has a history of injuries, which is not a good combo for fantasy.

 

  1. Trevor Siemien, Denver Broncos

Siemien won’t last the season as the starter. Paxton Lynch wasn’t drafted in the 1st round to be a career backup. Siemien has no fantasy value.

 

  1. Mike Glennon, Chicago Bears

I doubt he lasts as the starter all season. You will probably hear “MITCH!” Chants in Soldier Field by Week 3, referring to rookie Mitch Trubisky.

 

  1. Jared Goff, Los Angeles Rams

Is it too early to call Goff a bust? He did not look good last season and I doubt he will look much better this season. Even Matt Moore had more fantasy points than Goff last season.

 

  1. Deshaun Watson, Houston Texans

The only rookie to make the list. Tom Savage will start the season as the starter but I doubt that will last long. I still wouldn’t pick Watson in any fantasy drafts this season.

 

  1. Josh McCown, New York Jets

I feel bad for Josh McCown. Who will he be throwing to again?

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